TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Packers vs. Eagles be the highest scoring game of Week 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,149 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x128a…f49ebacked Yes36c1,700$604 inWon+$1,096.352955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes37c991$365 inWon+$626.0430446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…5692backed Yes39c909.26$355 inWon+$554.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No47c776.78$365 inLost-$365.4112022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7a…ccbfbacked No7c742.89$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed No60c400$240 inLost-$2409022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No65c365$236 inLost-$236.092650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes35c318.46$110 inWon+$208.2620440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No61c300$183 inLost-$18316832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes34c287.82$98 inWon+$189.9633047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes39c275$107 inWon+$167.756944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes13c215.92$27 inWon+$188.743956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7544…38a2backed No7c214.29$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc395…5c8cbacked No65c200$130 inLost-$1302733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No71c197.69$140 inLost-$140.2831439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No8c172.75$13 inLost-$13.0341540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ba…a286backed No64c87.5$56 inLost-$56.13627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e39…9ca2backed No61c81$49 inLost-$49.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57fd…b1cfbacked Yes73c77.86$57 inWon+$21.021770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes28c74$21 inWon+$53.4825643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed No63c66.04$41 inLost-$41.286240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4825…007dbacked No61c27$16 inLost-$16.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0a…21f3backed Yes41c26.83$11 inWon+$15.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b85…6980backed Yes61c23$14 inWon+$8.971330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5948…e90dbacked Yes70c20$14 inWon+$61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe330…fd90backed No61c19.99$12 inLost-$12.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.