MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6408ca955b0df670209fb4581f83282408a4c9be6c25eed5d4f66e506e7cd2c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Kiwoom Heroes, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 562.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 535.03$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 506.3$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 306.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 300.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 269$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 227.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 201.69$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…e194backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 190.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 170.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 166$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 154.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 145.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 136.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 117$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 107.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…d402backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 62.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 49.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 43.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 41.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 38.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 38.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 38.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 38.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 33.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 33.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 29.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…1b38backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 25.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 19.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.