CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6492f6fa9b2d260fdffebca8e8e4a5e44dfb97709dfa595239cf9ab667f24b98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed AM Gaming | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 747.5$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AM Gaming | 18c | 525.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed AM Gaming | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 41c | 286$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked AM Gaming | 14c | 242.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 235.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed AM Gaming | 31c | 208.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 175.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 149.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed AM Gaming | 18c | 137.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked AM Gaming | 29c | 129.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 96.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 76.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 72.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AM Gaming | 37c | 69.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 64.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed AM Gaming | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked AM Gaming | 35c | 49.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AM Gaming | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 35.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 31c | 34.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 33.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 20.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…0816backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.