TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x126c…0816

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Clutchain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.37
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.69
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-Inbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$7.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.64
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$5.49
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$10.86
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.69
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$31.12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.64
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$12.6
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.96
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Cbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$8.89
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.43
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.02
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.87
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.13
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.26
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.44
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.59
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.22
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$12.36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+183.2%+$31.81
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tom Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$27.71
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Iwo Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.36
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.22
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Marcus McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.64
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Édgar Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.09
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Priscila Cachoeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jordan Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Ketlen Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.83
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.65
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.95
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$49.55
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.07
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$27.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.