TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof KOLESIE, ASTRAL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL39c4,595$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.432,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL39c3,820$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.485,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed KOLESIE61c2,633$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.4928455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL21c2,423$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.472,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed ASTRAL2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed KOLESIE71c1,835$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.9122253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL28c1,572$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.715,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed KOLESIE63c1,417$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53014051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ASTRAL33c1,375$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.83,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ASTRAL34c1,360$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.994,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE61c1,089$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE65c1,088$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.851,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed ASTRAL1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16a…735dbacked KOLESIE63c854.38$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed ASTRAL14c822$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4228434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed KOLESIE61c777$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0357641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecb…52a5backed KOLESIE70c765.55$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.774257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked KOLESIE61c712.25$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.126437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed ASTRAL39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27320750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed ASTRAL39c599.09$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6526155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked KOLESIE61c560$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked KOLESIE61c560$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.43644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed KOLESIE61c547.29$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.442352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ASTRAL39c512.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL34c499.67$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.232,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL25c489.67$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.832,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed KOLESIE62c485.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.640449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked ASTRAL40c476.02$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed KOLESIE62c417.14$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5123940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL32c410$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.162,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL34c321.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.856,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked KOLESIE66c300.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.858463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL38c297.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.761,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL31c294.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.984,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE64c281$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.167,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked KOLESIE62c267.66$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6611661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed KOLESIE61c265.15$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked KOLESIE68c248.23$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2333060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed KOLESIE63c244$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9022044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ASTRAL30c240$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.023,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6536…6ed1backed KOLESIE61c234.96$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x524f…2642backed KOLESIE61c224.59$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.594134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ASTRAL39c220$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.877351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed KOLESIE61c213.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c66…0a4fbacked ASTRAL37c205.24$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.94560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed ASTRAL38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7613441.8%56 W · 78 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL36c199.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE73c187.5$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.064,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed KOLESIE60c187$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7519447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE70c186.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.294,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE66c183.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.441,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27eb…0232backed KOLESIE65c179.03$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.661145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked KOLESIE61c179$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8135947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed KOLESIE59c168.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2825252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed ASTRAL40c167.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6250051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked KOLESIE75c164.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2562738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ASTRAL39c164$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9674054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…2104backed KOLESIE62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa09…b681backed KOLESIE61c155$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.451747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked KOLESIE68c150.53$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1758745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ASTRAL38c148.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0299148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6627…8c04backed KOLESIE62c146.35$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked ASTRAL38c142.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2649149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked KOLESIE71c140.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7244675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed KOLESIE60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5657641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL30c138.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.882,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL31c136.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.843,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed KOLESIE75c133.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6211155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed KOLESIE61c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.721744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed ASTRAL40c129.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.112049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked ASTRAL40c125.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0415751%80 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed KOLESIE61c121$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1932139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed ASTRAL39c119.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.845645.2%206 W · 250 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8c…e076backed ASTRAL36c109.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.993655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked ASTRAL32c108$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.485851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked KOLESIE70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5c…a409backed ASTRAL18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.690%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d64…9190backed KOLESIE62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed KOLESIE63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2430951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked ASTRAL23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.144738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed ASTRAL37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.841437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed ASTRAL40c79.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6534750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…eaeabacked ASTRAL22c77.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.446825%17 W · 51 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed KOLESIE61c73.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7523654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba8…854bbacked KOLESIE58c70.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.796560%39 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3581…7427backed KOLESIE62c61.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.293372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51f4…1408backed KOLESIE65c61.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.071573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed ASTRAL40c57.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.173948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed KOLESIE61c57.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5421454.2%116 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL39c53.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.074,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked ASTRAL34c52.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7852645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed ASTRAL39c51.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0650056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed ASTRAL32c50.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1718747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked KOLESIE68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8826448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed ASTRAL40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208552.9%45 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0c…e685backed KOLESIE61c49.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.311650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed KOLESIE59c48.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9521755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab98…f0aabacked ASTRAL40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed KOLESIE61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.655749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed ASTRAL36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.427248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.