CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbbd54bee1d5017d9a0580445234bcec04ece554c1f77e53c20fc8abbdbddef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked KOLESIE | 61c | 3,644$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.37 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed KOLESIE | 65c | 3,451$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.95 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked KOLESIE | 55c | 1,679$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.91 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ASTRAL | 38c | 1,473$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed ASTRAL | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ASTRAL | 41c | 951.06$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 36c | 938.63$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 48c | 655.2$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed KOLESIE | 68c | 588.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 59c | 476$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 437.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked KOLESIE | 71c | 423.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL | 26c | 418.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 45c | 418.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL | 30c | 381.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed ASTRAL | 25c | 338.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 33c | 260.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 38c | 259.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 33c | 245.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…5c13backed ASTRAL | 52c | 211.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed ASTRAL | 32c | 209.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed KOLESIE | 61c | 209.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked KOLESIE | 55c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE | 67c | 199.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed KOLESIE | 63c | 189.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL | 27c | 188.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked KOLESIE | 55c | 180.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 65c | 176.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked KOLESIE | 66c | 175.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL | 26c | 174.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed KOLESIE | 56c | 147.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ASTRAL | 41c | 135.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked ASTRAL | 42c | 134.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE | 67c | 123.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked ASTRAL | 42c | 119.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ASTRAL | 29c | 95.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 55c | 88.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed ASTRAL | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked KOLESIE | 62c | 86.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ASTRAL | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed ASTRAL | 45c | 75.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed KOLESIE | 58c | 68.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 34c | 65.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ASTRAL | 36c | 64.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ASTRAL | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ASTRAL | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ASTRAL | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ASTRAL | 28c | 49.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked ASTRAL | 52c | 47.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed KOLESIE | 62c | 40.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed KOLESIE | 58c | 38.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KOLESIE | 59c | 32.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…d487backed KOLESIE | 64c | 26.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed ASTRAL | 60c | 26.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed KOLESIE | 53c | 26.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…df21backed KOLESIE | 59c | 25.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed KOLESIE | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed KOLESIE | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed KOLESIE | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)KOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.