Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane Green Wave vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6498949769c3e9feec3287fe2e40f3e668512ef4552eef3ac09ca384666cab92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 17,886$8,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,943.03 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 9,954$4,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976.26 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 50c | 3,015$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 50c | 2,072$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.86 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.78 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 50c | 859.37$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.69 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 627.46$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.73 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 608.06$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 49c | 401.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 205.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 201.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 200.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 154.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 95.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 71.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 52c | 57.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 47.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Under | 50c | 32.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 48c | 27.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 49c | 25.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over | 53c | 23.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane Green Wave vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 137.5this page
- Tulane Green Wave vs. North Texas Mean GreenTulane Green Wave won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.