Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Kristina Penickova vs Sofia Avataneo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e1a3373dcdfead3e379752cd1c54d9fe05d27897b8a7c51a21673ea3047476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Avataneoof Kristina Penickova, Sofia Avataneo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kristina Penickova | 72c | 7,680$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.6 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sofia Avataneo | 4c | 2,600$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.19 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sofia Avataneo | 37c | 2,257$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.11 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sofia Avataneo | 40c | 2,130$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.18 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sofia Avataneo | 37c | 1,971$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.65 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kristina Penickova | 35c | 650.96$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Kristina Penickova | 9c | 643$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Kristina Penickova | 12c | 600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Kristina Penickova | 13c | 486$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Kristina Penickova | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Kristina Penickova | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Kristina Penickova | 9c | 396.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Kristina Penickova | 9c | 386$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Kristina Penickova | 3c | 372$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Sofia Avataneo | 6c | 274$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sofia Avataneo | 32c | 241$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sofia Avataneo | 21c | 183.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Kristina Penickova | 27c | 178.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofia Avataneo | 25c | 155.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kristina Penickova | 40c | 132.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sofia Avataneo | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Kristina Penickova | 24c | 113.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Sofia Avataneo | 67c | 112.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Kristina Penickova | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kristina Penickova | 63c | 73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sofia Avataneo | 65c | 70.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Kristina Penickova | 33c | 58.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kristina Penickova | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sofia Avataneo | 38c | 48.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kristina Penickova | 80c | 48.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Sofia Avataneo | 46c | 47.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Kristina Penickova | 64c | 40.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Kristina Penickova | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.