Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64f56f3c3eaab9487e3a6bd9e8cce5dd04a79b1a49b29e8088ba05559ce68e2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 77c | 5,247$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.68 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 4,988$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.53 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 33c | 1,518$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 66c | 984.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.9 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 10c | 941.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 934.34$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.33 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 77c | 911.15$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 35c | 826.45$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 67c | 825.97$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.57 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Under | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 65c | 361.87$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 278.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 201.05$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 159.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Over | 25c | 79.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 69.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 68c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: NEOM SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.