Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2069d04693e81748c19f8ca6ab483f14b794bde050387d7ae583e8cae0096529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 47c | 4,201$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.5 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 2,867$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.84 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 75c | 2,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 68c | 2,195$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 1,706$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.56 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 1,678$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.53 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 850.74$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.94 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 42c | 649.69$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.87 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 52c | 638.47$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.03 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 624.86$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 63c | 559.81$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.91 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 47c | 258.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 47c | 205.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…6e3fbacked Over | 24c | 145.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 79c | 113.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Over | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 55c | 86.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 21c | 76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 50c | 70.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 20c | 56.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 50.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…eb04backed Over | 80c | 50.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 48.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x704b…08b7backed Over | 44c | 45.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 79c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 42c | 43.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 202 | 60.4%122 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 44c | 31.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 281 | 48.8%137 W · 144 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…6471backed Over | 61c | 31.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…6a3abacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: NEOM SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.