Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64fd51f2815fd77a731ac7ff7635a996639b537d903b10d9f65d8950ef2c82a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stonehill Skyhawksof Le Moyne Dolphins, Stonehill Skyhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,855 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 47c | 2,694$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.43 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 53c | 2,050$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 53c | 497$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 53c | 439.71$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 45c | 432.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 54c | 345.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 29c | 339.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 49c | 290.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 53c | 278.73$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 72c | 267.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 47c | 196.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 43c | 122.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 57c | 99.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 65c | 49.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…84f5backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 36.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 35.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 53c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 51c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 56c | 18.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-6.5)this page
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne DolphinsStonehill Skyhawks won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 134.5Over won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 135.5Over won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 138.5Over won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 139.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.