CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64fdf688eaddd8dbcd67cee9de92e16376d683dee6a2157e8ed32ab7e3ad8fa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EYEBALLERSof SAW, EYEBALLERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked EYEBALLERS | 69c | 6,721$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SAW | 0c | 5,705$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked SAW | 54c | 5,305$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.59 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SAW | 60c | 4,487$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.45 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed SAW | 57c | 4,212$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed EYEBALLERS | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked EYEBALLERS | 40c | 3,610$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.7 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 3,110$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.55 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed SAW | 35c | 2,430$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked EYEBALLERS | 66c | 2,185$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.85 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked SAW | 61c | 1,630$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9983…be54backed EYEBALLERS | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed SAW | 51c | 984.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed SAW | 15c | 904.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed SAW | 47c | 900.1$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fa…8096backed EYEBALLERS | 37c | 850$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…1a18backed SAW | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…d162backed SAW | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed EYEBALLERS | 35c | 735.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.5 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed SAW | 8c | 621.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked EYEBALLERS | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.28 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed EYEBALLERS | 44c | 455.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.06 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SAW | 22c | 399.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed SAW | 33c | 339.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed EYEBALLERS | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed SAW | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…96b7backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 262.07$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…49b1backed EYEBALLERS | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…fcd3backed EYEBALLERS | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…b3c4backed EYEBALLERS | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed SAW | 57c | 232.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked SAW | 57c | 205.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…ac12backed SAW | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed SAW | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed EYEBALLERS | 38c | 130.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…733bbacked EYEBALLERS | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9279backed SAW | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b19…e4f0backed EYEBALLERS | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…07a6backed SAW | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed SAW | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed SAW | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed SAW | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…0abebacked SAW | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked SAW | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked SAW | 59c | 82.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed SAW | 35c | 81.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed SAW | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…d3b4backed EYEBALLERS | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9923…81dcbacked SAW | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed EYEBALLERS | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked EYEBALLERS | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked EYEBALLERS | 70c | 64.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…6570backed SAW | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked EYEBALLERS | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…d806backed EYEBALLERS | 42c | 49.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked EYEBALLERS | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed SAW | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed EYEBALLERS | 41c | 39.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed EYEBALLERS | 57c | 33.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked EYEBALLERS | 68c | 30.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked EYEBALLERS | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed SAW | 62c | 28.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed SAW | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed SAW | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed SAW | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…b013backed SAW | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…d7cdbacked EYEBALLERS | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.