Europa Conference League · resolved market
Noah FA vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6549da7a2034e46c622cf4bebac04c500e1f2e0335a21c48fccb0b27fef997ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c00…e6a9backed No | 40c | 7,794$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad24…3831backed Yes | 60c | 7,676$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…e177backed Yes | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…09b8backed No | 40c | 7,359$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,478$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.44 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 51c | 583.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 21c | 418$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 50c | 400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 350.55$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 29c | 223.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 39c | 178.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…9b67backed No | 66c | 169.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 130.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 120.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 47c | 106.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 51c | 98.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…7ebdbacked Yes | 54c | 92.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 63c | 78.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 40c | 40.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 24.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…3d2abacked Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Noah FA vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Under won
- Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Under won
- Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.