Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656fa5e04da3eacd57c0284f92e9def3cc04c983633c2baca7d71a2ecf328c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8c…9609backed No | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…1f31backed Yes | 56c | 217.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269f…5ea4backed Yes | 56c | 204.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…8d02backed Yes | 56c | 204.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…46bcbacked No | 44c | 204$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…3dfdbacked No | 44c | 203$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc885…1971backed Yes | 56c | 202.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…2bb8backed No | 44c | 202$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…e258backed No | 44c | 202$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…ae72backed Yes | 56c | 200.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7934…7c3fbacked No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a7…3e31backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…7465backed Yes | 56c | 199.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b30…dd49backed Yes | 56c | 199.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…58abbacked Yes | 56c | 197.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…3b91backed No | 44c | 197$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…6695backed Yes | 56c | 192.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb61…c5bdbacked No | 44c | 191$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…058cbacked Yes | 56c | 190.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…936fbacked No | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 108.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 76.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 67.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…ad3dbacked Yes | 55c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.