Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4814deca627e9e5bea25049c2194290473c171b5edc0d8cdee66b6c19e884f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 1,911$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 738.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.15 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 2c | 650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 434$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 396.44$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 339.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 71c | 238$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 26c | 214$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 187.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 27c | 151.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 79c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Under | 23c | 77.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…7c1cbacked Over | 79c | 49.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0055…b43bbacked Over | 79c | 38.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…5ec1backed Over | 79c | 31.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +12.0wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 22.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked Over | 79c | 19.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.