CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Dark Moon (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b4cdc7589e19966b139decfeb71b20dbcfe2a07cdbad65f4a05d1e5abfe0fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Prospectsof CYBERSHOKE Prospects, Dark Moon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc283…031cbacked Dark Moon | 23c | 510.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Dark Moon | 22c | 279.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 76c | 216.45$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 80c | 186.59$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Dark Moon | 17c | 138.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 80c | 117.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Dark Moon | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Dark Moon | 15c | 105.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 80c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Dark Moon | 13c | 91.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8cc6backed Dark Moon | 25c | 77.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dark Moon | 17c | 60.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…fe1abacked Dark Moon | 26c | 51.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 80c | 26.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 67c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Dark Moon (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Dark Moon - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Prospects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.