Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b6c6f5701bbad806b9138735a18fbbe9865a383c58bd69553adf253dc0fb9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 24c | 6,169$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 3,302$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.87 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 60c | 2,049$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.23 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 1,793$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Under | 64c | 1,491$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 13c | 1,437$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 1,095$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 3c | 779.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 246.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…85a6backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 212.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 11c | 208.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f71…711bbacked Under | 77c | 128.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 123.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 68.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9e2bbacked Under | 51c | 47.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 52c | 38.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e9acbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 49c | 32.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 52c | 30.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 29.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 38c | 29.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.