Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4aa47c5c147ef7c53d82a4f9fcf165c7456a28741bdbd5da11adfd60cc9580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fulham FCof Fulham FC, AFC Wimbledon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed AFC Wimbledon | 59c | 88,384$52,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,168 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Fulham FC | 40c | 37,552$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,552.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Fulham FC | 40c | 35,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fulham FC | 41c | 12,239$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,179.54 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Fulham FC | 44c | 12,094$5,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.11 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fulham FC | 44c | 6,223$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.55 | 785 | 42.5%334 W · 451 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 4,009$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.61 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 2,894$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.46 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 2,016$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.21 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed AFC Wimbledon | 47c | 556.57$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Fulham FC | 44c | 428.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 416$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Fulham FC | 43c | 401.04$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed AFC Wimbledon | 41c | 350.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Fulham FC | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed AFC Wimbledon | 61c | 199.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 186.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -10.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Fulham FC | 42c | 178.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Fulham FC | 54c | 177.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Fulham FC | 40c | 148$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 136.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 110.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fulham FC | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked AFC Wimbledon | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed AFC Wimbledon | 59c | 78.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 67.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Fulham FC | 65c | 66.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed AFC Wimbledon | 61c | 51.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Fulham FC | 43c | 37.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 36.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…a65abacked AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 34.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Fulham FC | 43c | 32.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Fulham FC | 40c | 32.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 31.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Fulham FC | 55c | 30.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 756 | 58.6%443 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…af42backed AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 27.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed AFC Wimbledon | 60c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07bb…fccabacked AFC Wimbledon | 58c | 25.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Fulham FC | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)this page
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.