Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd763cf89c41139db9f64e545ea699b35bb1fad4735f556df371087299e4cbac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 51c | 2,798$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.35 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 1,980$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.52 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 1,466$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.55 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 1,446$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 1,426 | 44.3%632 W · 794 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,201$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.83 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 885.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.51 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 51c | 495.19$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…1531backed Over | 36c | 261.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…bc66backed Under | 46c | 250.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 149.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 123.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 115.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 108$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 993 | 45.8%455 W · 538 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 35c | 91.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 70c | 75.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 35c | 67.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 59.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1,950 | 42.5%828 W · 1,122 L | -42.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 65c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 58.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 56.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…0ac8backed Over | 49c | 51.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 76c | 40.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…fb1cbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 70c | 27.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…f8b9backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 70c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 70c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 2.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: Fulham FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.