Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Washington State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b7d213df963740e6042b47db193ef9457fda938183470c59325eceeba77e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Nevada Wolf Pack, Washington State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Washington State Cougars | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 30c | 4,598$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.3 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington State Cougars | 52c | 1,160$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 30c | 1,120$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…870ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 41c | 737$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 30c | 478$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.6 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 76c | 393.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington State Cougars | 53c | 310$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Washington State Cougars | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 196$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 56c | 173.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 34c | 127$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington State Cougars | 54c | 117$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 32c | 110$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Washington State Cougars | 54c | 103.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 30c | 74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Washington State Cougarsthis page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 148.5Under won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-2.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.