Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b9fd3f5a7217be6782c7e2b01d5b6f261cbce9c7dc432a820162ae857de56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,084 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 663.76$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 39c | 642.56$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.01 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 534.94$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.82 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 52c | 519.23$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 48c | 414.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.72 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 14c | 235$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 52c | 218.28$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…7ff5backed No | 7c | 205.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 147.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 111.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed No | 63c | 101$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 100.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 52c | 79.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 75.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 50c | 60.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 38.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.