CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65bccf58a522f855fa180035f9131114183f158f11c16dfa7bae10f14e63b331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof MOUZ NXT, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TDK | 65c | 5,596$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 3,400$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 65c | 2,991$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 1,750$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TDK | 61c | 1,190$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.35 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 757.93$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 703.05$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.16 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed MOUZ NXT | 28c | 589.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 74c | 535.43$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ NXT | 3c | 478$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 457$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 456$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 437.12$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 410.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed TDK | 59c | 280$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ NXT | 18c | 273.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…a35cbacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 256.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 14c | 222.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 180.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed TDK | 74c | 161.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 70c | 142.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 136.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed TDK | 78c | 129.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…9f45backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 125.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked TDK | 63c | 115.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…df4cbacked TDK | 66c | 113.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed TDK | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed TDK | 64c | 100.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TDK | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…c3d8backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TDK | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed TDK | 72c | 73.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 67.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed TDK | 62c | 62.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 51.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TDK | 72c | 51.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TDK | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 48.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…8ff4backed TDK | 68c | 36.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 35.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 35.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked TDK | 65c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed TDK | 65c | 24.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed TDK | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed TDK | 65c | 21.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed TDK | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked TDK | 66c | 18.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed TDK | 74c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…7079backed TDK | 66c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed TDK | 74c | 14.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.