Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Shuai Zhang vs Taylah Preston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65dba943f805e32106857e3736b96d727d9c31db031a928c09cdbbb49fb0beb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestonof Zhang, Preston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Preston | 43c | 2,347$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.66 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…d39abacked Zhang | 66c | 1,933$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Preston | 62c | 1,686$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.59 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Zhang | 61c | 1,479$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhang | 50c | 1,293$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Preston | 34c | 1,082$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.86 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Zhang | 23c | 911.67$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Preston | 35c | 858.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.94 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zhang | 51c | 773.21$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Zhang | 64c | 727.13$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.49 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Preston | 35c | 577.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.17 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Preston | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Preston | 34c | 444$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0f65backed Preston | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Preston | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Preston | 36c | 249$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Preston | 50c | 219.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Zhang | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Preston | 61c | 164.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Preston | 60c | 135.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Zhang | 66c | 113.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Zhang | 49c | 102.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…02e2backed Zhang | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Preston | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zhang | 36c | 90.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Zhang | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Preston | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Zhang | 46c | 60.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Preston | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Zhang | 67c | 59.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Preston | 39c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Preston | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…a505backed Zhang | 41c | 46.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Zhang | 68c | 45.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…f5f3backed Zhang | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…22aabacked Zhang | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Preston | 51c | 43.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Preston | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Zhang | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Preston | 52c | 38.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…785bbacked Preston | 52c | 37.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Zhang | 33c | 35.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Preston | 33c | 34.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 268 | 37.3%100 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Zhang | 48c | 33.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Preston | 40c | 33.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Preston | 79c | 31.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Preston | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Zhang | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Shuai Zhang vs Taylah Prestonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs PrestonPreston won
- Zhang vs. Preston: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.