Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65dc77ecb0227ccdd8ad2bc7eb23ceac9f415283b3df25402e3dcd0e5f9947f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Indiana Hoosiers, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,298 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 1c | 6,216$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 4,640$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.98 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 60c | 2,595$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.46 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 1,631$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.19 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 76c | 1,392$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 1,246$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.58 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 19c | 1,166$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 72c | 1,101$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 61c | 829.46$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.35 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 37c | 799.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 720.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 625.85$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 62c | 480.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 396.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 69c | 350.38$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 9c | 348.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 237.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 215.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 62c | 210.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 69c | 203.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 12c | 199.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 193.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 60c | 161$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 62c | 145.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 74c | 125.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 119.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 77c | 108.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Indiana Hoosiers | 31c | 102.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 101.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 99.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 99.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 61c | 81.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 78.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…340fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 72.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…b555backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 61.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 55.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Indiana Hoosiers | 24c | 55.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 37c | 55.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 73c | 54.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 62c | 51.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 50.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…0f1abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 48.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 36c | 48.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 43c | 47.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Indiana Hoosiers | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…8c3abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 46.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 39.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 78c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 60c | 37.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 32.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 62c | 30.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 62c | 25.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 73c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…ffb8backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 66c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 77c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 61c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesthis page
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-3.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-4.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.