Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rochester: Ilyas Milad Fahim vs Kayden Colombo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e689348545bdb6c5b6371ea5d68451b4db232e7c59e757beeb0b65c8a8bf26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilyas Milad Fahimof Ilyas Milad Fahim, Kayden Colombo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kayden Colombo | 17c | 6,817$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Kayden Colombo | 14c | 357.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kayden Colombo | 9c | 275.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kayden Colombo | 18c | 218.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Kayden Colombo | 23c | 142.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Kayden Colombo | 24c | 112.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 71c | 96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kayden Colombo | 17c | 89.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Kayden Colombo | 21c | 57.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…143fbacked Kayden Colombo | 22c | 55.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 80c | 43.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 77c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.