Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs Zidansek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66261c70cec78216f13f493e327ab1784d51334b105aa0e9a1697b876ac13779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zidansekof Bondar, Zidansek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zidansek | 49c | 2,809$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.81 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Bondar | 57c | 2,682$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.65 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Zidansek | 66c | 935.21$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.97 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zidansek | 39c | 510.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zidansek | 39c | 491.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Bondar | 60c | 484.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.6 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zidansek | 46c | 309.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 2,442 | 50.9%1,243 W · 1,199 L | +83.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Bondar | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zidansek | 44c | 150.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Bondar | 71c | 145.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Bondar | 60c | 138.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Zidansek | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 303 | 46.5%141 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…50c5backed Bondar | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Bondar | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bondar | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Zidansek | 55c | 89.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Zidansek | 28c | 64.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Zidansek | 45c | 54.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Bondar | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zidansek | 63c | 51.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Zidansek | 55c | 34.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Bondar | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Bondar | 50c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Bondar | 71c | 20.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…7513backed Zidansek | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs Zidansekthis page
- Anna Bondar vs. Tamara Zidansek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Bondar vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara ZidansekTamara Zidansek won
- Set 2 Winner: Bondar vs ZidansekBondar won
- Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Zidansek (+1.5)Zidansek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.