Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Zidansek (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1641c23937f98b8c2e446f4db0e42352778e5c6801f9fff280c82dc27078f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zidansekof Bondar, Zidansek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Bondar | 53c | 18,429$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zidansek | 46c | 7,233$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.95 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Zidansek | 47c | 4,306$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.05 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zidansek | 49c | 1,853$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.51 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Zidansek | 48c | 1,768$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.07 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Bondar | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zidansek | 47c | 969.08$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.61 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Zidansek | 50c | 806.04$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Zidansek | 49c | 666.47$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.9 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Zidansek | 47c | 657$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.28 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zidansek | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Zidansek | 49c | 528.57$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Zidansek | 50c | 408.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Zidansek | 48c | 216.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zidansek | 54c | 157.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Zidansek | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Zidansek | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Zidansek | 49c | 101.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zidansek | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Zidansek | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Zidansek | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Zidansek | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Zidansek | 50c | 67.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zidansek | 64c | 51.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Zidansek (+1.5)this page
- Anna Bondar vs. Tamara Zidansek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Bondar vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara ZidansekTamara Zidansek won
- Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs ZidansekZidansek won
- Set 2 Winner: Bondar vs ZidansekBondar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.