Tennis · resolved market
ITF Casablanca: Madison Sieg vs Luna Vujovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x662680b4206255ee69e06709d0b9417bbe825bd7385ae6fc55f54dfa19782d47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luna Vujovicof Madison Sieg, Luna Vujovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Luna Vujovic | 49c | 2,527$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Madison Sieg | 50c | 1,705$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.65 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Luna Vujovic | 57c | 1,025$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.91 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Madison Sieg | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Luna Vujovic | 59c | 450.47$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Madison Sieg | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Madison Sieg | 16c | 348.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Madison Sieg | 39c | 216.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Madison Sieg | 36c | 107$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Madison Sieg | 49c | 90.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luna Vujovic | 72c | 61.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Luna Vujovic | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Madison Sieg | 25c | 46.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Madison Sieg | 54c | 33.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Madison Sieg | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Madison Sieg | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.