Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663200a7aeb101b02bc2d8085d7db32e74bc1e8da31437c6037381b3b1b1e92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 62c | 1,231$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.36 | 661 | 44.5%294 W · 367 L | +57.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 25c | 919.11$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 40c | 761.9$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.91 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 42c | 591.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.26 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed Yes | 80c | 488.69$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 17c | 481.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 25c | 416.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 26c | 342.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 62c | 328.59$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 70c | 285$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 80c | 245.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 31c | 241.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 197.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 22c | 184.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 148.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 51c | 142.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…18e8backed No | 73c | 127.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…ccebbacked Yes | 67c | 119.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 38c | 113.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed No | 71c | 107.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 37c | 107.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 71c | 103.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 72c | 99.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 50c | 95.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 67c | 89.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 73c | 82.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed No | 49c | 75.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…4d70backed No | 67c | 69.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 74c | 66.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…8869backed Yes | 44c | 64.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed Yes | 77c | 64.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…f08ebacked No | 18c | 62.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…9383backed No | 22c | 60.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…2f75backed No | 47c | 59.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed No | 32c | 57.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked No | 23c | 56.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…ee90backed Yes | 54c | 53.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 80c | 49.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed Yes | 76c | 49.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 46.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 68c | 46.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 58c | 45.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…e477backed Yes | 65c | 44.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 45c | 43.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked Yes | 72c | 41.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 55c | 36.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 45c | 32.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…26b7backed No | 48c | 32.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 42c | 31.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Yes | 60c | 31.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 64c | 30.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed Yes | 64c | 30.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cb…e91abacked Yes | 76c | 29.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…2f51backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 78c | 28.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 55c | 28.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 46c | 28.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked Yes | 77c | 27.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked Yes | 71c | 26.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed Yes | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed Yes | 68c | 25.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked Yes | 72c | 23.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 74c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…4d91backed Yes | 72c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed Yes | 72c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 79c | 22.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…ebdcbacked Yes | 74c | 21.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 64 | 81.3%52 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed Yes | 72c | 20.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 76c | 20.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…c88cbacked Yes | 55c | 19.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 78c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Yes | 75c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked Yes | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…724fbacked Yes | 69c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked Yes | 74c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed Yes | 74c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on April 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.