CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6641c53bf8ef1b7ac843808fe715aebbd628de740fa74c0290bdd55e08ec5ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Liquid, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,520 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa96c…3b7abacked Liquid | 0c | 11,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Liquid | 7c | 1,017$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance | 51c | 836.28$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Liquid | 2c | 805.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Alliance | 39c | 736.36$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.34 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid | 61c | 607.89$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.81 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…8868backed Liquid | 57c | 425.16$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 11c | 331.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Liquid | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Alliance | 45c | 323.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.43 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 73c | 308.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 79c | 249.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Liquid | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Liquid | 9c | 180$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Liquid | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…23dbbacked Liquid | 9c | 115.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Liquid | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Liquid | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ba…5618backed Liquid | 38c | 103.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Liquid | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Liquid | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Liquid | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Liquid | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Alliance | 46c | 87.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Liquid | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Liquid | 60c | 76.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liquid | 19c | 65.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Liquid | 58c | 61.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Liquid | 38c | 59.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Alliance | 45c | 50.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Liquid | 61c | 49.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…a2f1backed Liquid | 25c | 48.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Liquid | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Liquid | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Liquid | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Liquid | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.