Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs FUSION (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x664c043196188642aaaac0af95ac4652d48503a1f42f121860e0ae8ab3a0fc1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contraof Contra, FUSION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bc…decabacked FUSION | 22c | 3,355$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.38 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Contra | 78c | 1,607$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.47 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Contra | 75c | 1,126$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked FUSION | 15c | 610.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUSION | 25c | 485.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FUSION | 13c | 476.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed FUSION | 22c | 453.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed FUSION | 16c | 317.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Contra | 80c | 277.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FUSION | 16c | 221.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Contra | 79c | 181.34$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FUSION | 13c | 160.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Contra | 73c | 142$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Contra | 78c | 119.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FUSION | 14c | 79.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Contra | 79c | 61.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…813cbacked Contra | 74c | 33.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Contra | 73c | 23.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Contra | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Contra vs FUSION (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Contra vs FUSION - Map 1 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: Contra vs FUSION - Map 2 WinnerContra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.