CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665f7f0c44c075e64b9f6f6dd12385ca60743c26761d7b9e3b95e0fb8bda63cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof WW Team, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 5,569$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked WW Team | 33c | 3,750$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 1,246$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.26 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.93 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed WW Team | 33c | 899.1$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.04 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed WW Team | 33c | 760.61$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed WW Team | 33c | 733$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 589.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.62 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed WW Team | 32c | 446.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed WW Team | 32c | 411.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed WW Team | 32c | 403.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked WW Team | 32c | 327.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked WW Team | 33c | 259.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed WW Team | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked WW Team | 33c | 151$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked WW Team | 33c | 145$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 134.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked WW Team | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked WW Team | 32c | 101.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked WW Team | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…fc3abacked WW Team | 32c | 69.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed WW Team | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 54.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d51…71a5backed WW Team | 34c | 34.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 23.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 14.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.