Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Somerset
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667f76c6d6c23c5f3b88174e4aae8fbbe3da51394533a127f26ccd3777e49ddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Somersetof Warwickshire, Somerset
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Warwickshire | 22c | 999.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Somerset | 58c | 842.71$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.94 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 744.74$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.48 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…de81backed Warwickshire | 41c | 470.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Warwickshire | 44c | 239.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…5b55backed Warwickshire | 41c | 231.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Somerset | 44c | 226.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Somerset | 51c | 195$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Warwickshire | 43c | 178.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Warwickshire | 39c | 173$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Somerset | 62c | 162.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Somerset | 61c | 142.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Somerset | 53c | 125$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Warwickshire | 33c | 107.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Warwickshire | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Somerset | 58c | 99.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…d609backed Warwickshire | 52c | 76.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Warwickshire | 45c | 76.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Somerset | 53c | 56.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Somerset | 56c | 53.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…b563backed Somerset | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…9575backed Somerset | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Somerset | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…e91fbacked Somerset | 52c | 38.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Somerset | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Somerset | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…ef73backed Warwickshire | 48c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Somerset | 65c | 19.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.