Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Suriname vs Argentina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b85cba88f4e0a32b907782f4e46a128054f5a330a0b772a35aa6705befdec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Suriname, Argentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,145 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Suriname | 7c | 3,836$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.51 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suriname | 8c | 769.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Suriname | 19c | 531.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Suriname | 21c | 452$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Suriname | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Suriname | 31c | 349.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Suriname | 13c | 276.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Suriname | 9c | 228.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Argentina | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Argentina | 80c | 183$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Suriname | 11c | 160.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Suriname | 19c | 124.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…5845backed Argentina | 69c | 115.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Suriname | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked Argentina | 70c | 91.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Argentina | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suriname | 16c | 83.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…c007backed Argentina | 76c | 76.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Argentina | 80c | 62.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Suriname | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Argentina | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Argentina | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.