Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Irina Khayndrava vs Defne Aydemir
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c50a5e76b19b0f85e90ecf3b4e532f0f3fa76cd00fc250c0b5f154ffb1d7f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Defne Aydemirof Irina Khayndrava, Defne Aydemir
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Irina Khayndrava | 4c | 4,800$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Defne Aydemir | 64c | 2,076$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.37 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Irina Khayndrava | 23c | 1,364$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.01 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…98c2backed Irina Khayndrava | 2c | 1,203$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Irina Khayndrava | 53c | 943.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Irina Khayndrava | 12c | 706$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Irina Khayndrava | 12c | 706$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Irina Khayndrava | 12c | 706$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Irina Khayndrava | 12c | 706$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Defne Aydemir | 67c | 615.75$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Irina Khayndrava | 32c | 597.23$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Irina Khayndrava | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Defne Aydemir | 66c | 413.8$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Irina Khayndrava | 41c | 384.64$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Defne Aydemir | 59c | 254.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Defne Aydemir | 41c | 156.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Irina Khayndrava | 55c | 148.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Irina Khayndrava | 16c | 97.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Irina Khayndrava | 24c | 73.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Defne Aydemir | 48c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Irina Khayndrava | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Irina Khayndrava | 39c | 29.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Defne Aydemir | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.