Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67139144fc1e093ec043bba88ee77d895d77d0248d68e91bc77feb24fd6e7044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatan Esportsof LOUD, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Leviatan Esports | 44c | 1,004$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.23 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed LOUD | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LOUD | 56c | 669.71$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.04 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked LOUD | 62c | 633.03$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.82 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Leviatan Esports | 47c | 590$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.67 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Leviatan Esports | 45c | 421.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed LOUD | 56c | 353.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…def4backed LOUD | 55c | 353.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Leviatan Esports | 46c | 338.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…388cbacked Leviatan Esports | 46c | 336.51$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked LOUD | 54c | 333.59$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Leviatan Esports | 44c | 299.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Leviatan Esports | 46c | 294.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Leviatan Esports | 46c | 243.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Leviatan Esports | 39c | 220.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked LOUD | 53c | 210.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed LOUD | 59c | 197.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed LOUD | 54c | 191.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed LOUD | 55c | 189.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Leviatan Esports | 46c | 159.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Leviatan Esports | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Leviatan Esports | 40c | 151.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LOUD | 60c | 90.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked LOUD | 54c | 89.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Leviatan Esports | 38c | 86.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Leviatan Esports | 46c | 86.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed LOUD | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked LOUD | 57c | 54.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked LOUD | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed LOUD | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Leviatan Esports | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed LOUD | 31c | 45.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Leviatan Esports | 45c | 37.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed LOUD | 56c | 34.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed LOUD | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed LOUD | 59c | 33.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed LOUD | 57c | 32.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Leviatan Esports | 62c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLeviatan Esports won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerLeviatan Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.