Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf62dd4c4cd94110ac035c98ec59be56d1c794bcb1727400c8c952f9c1a2d9022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 59c | 3,359$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.97 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.98 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 40c | 1,238$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.16 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 41c | 313.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Under | 70c | 274.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 39c | 268.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Over | 41c | 183.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 42c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 72c | 35.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 59c | 33.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 63c | 28.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Under | 59c | 23.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 59c | 19.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)Leviatan Esports won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLeviatan Esports won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerLeviatan Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.