Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6736793e4bf336de1dfaabb71b81027197b88dbaea8f8d8d3c4edead16b17e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 9,597$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.81 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.1 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 41c | 3,716$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.92 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 2,522$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 41c | 1,282$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.87 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 646.32$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.89 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Over | 69c | 579.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 48c | 368.56$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.91 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 354.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 68c | 323.6$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 49c | 187.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 167.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 165.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 53c | 104.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 63c | 83.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 65c | 77.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 52c | 74.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 55c | 35.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 32.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 43c | 30.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 64c | 23.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.