Lol · resolved market
LoL: 7REX vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6737f5a5fb7c13d6bb960380c4a63075d533afa04f180c380949411e9a2c7d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof 7REX, Estral Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked 7REX | 11c | 16,874$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.79 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 7REX | 11c | 4,694$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.78 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked 7REX | 15c | 4,363$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 7REX | 10c | 4,089$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.87 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 7REX | 7c | 3,809$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.64 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 7REX | 8c | 2,709$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed 7REX | 11c | 2,211$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed 7REX | 11c | 2,152$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.77 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked 7REX | 18c | 1,924$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed 7REX | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed 7REX | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed 7REX | 11c | 883.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed 7REX | 13c | 828.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 7REX | 6c | 801.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed 7REX | 10c | 747.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed 7REX | 12c | 725.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed 7REX | 12c | 714.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Estral Esports | 80c | 712.74$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…be9bbacked 7REX | 9c | 635.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked 7REX | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed 7REX | 16c | 516$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Estral Esports | 79c | 507.43$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed 7REX | 10c | 475.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked 7REX | 12c | 467$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed 7REX | 12c | 411.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 7REX | 14c | 396.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked 7REX | 14c | 393.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 7REX | 7c | 380.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed 7REX | 9c | 346.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked 7REX | 12c | 345.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked 7REX | 11c | 330.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…9582backed 7REX | 15c | 303.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked 7REX | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked 7REX | 13c | 284.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed 7REX | 12c | 284.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed 7REX | 12c | 283.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed 7REX | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 7REX | 8c | 240$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 7REX | 11c | 238.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed 7REX | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed 7REX | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed 7REX | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed 7REX | 13c | 206.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…fc3abacked 7REX | 11c | 202.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed 7REX | 13c | 183.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed 7REX | 7c | 167$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed 7REX | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed 7REX | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed 7REX | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 161 | 42.2%68 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked 7REX | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked 7REX | 12c | 146.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed 7REX | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed 7REX | 20c | 132$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed 7REX | 12c | 128.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked 7REX | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed 7REX | 13c | 117.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed 7REX | 11c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Estral Esports | 80c | 107$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed 7REX | 11c | 104.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed 7REX | 16c | 86.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Estral Esports | 79c | 64.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.