Tennis · resolved market
Korea Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Emma Raducanu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6738b4119b432aa50a4feab5498ba9073c4d8f76e01b4f9399b924084c59c64a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raducanuof Cristian, Raducanu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cristian | 26c | 1,999$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.79 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Raducanu | 59c | 1,704$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Raducanu | 76c | 1,180$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cristian | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raducanu | 73c | 738.52$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.4 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cristian | 20c | 583.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cristian | 18c | 570.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raducanu | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raducanu | 76c | 375.18$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cristian | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cristian | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cristian | 40c | 350.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Raducanu | 61c | 277.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Raducanu | 72c | 275$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Raducanu | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Raducanu | 74c | 235.27$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Raducanu | 72c | 180.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Raducanu | 77c | 172.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raducanu | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…8d45backed Raducanu | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Raducanu | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Cristian | 26c | 95.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Cristian | 24c | 85.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cristian | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Raducanu | 76c | 78.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cristian | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cristian | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Raducanu | 71c | 46.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raducanu | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…53ccbacked Raducanu | 76c | 30.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Raducanu | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Raducanu | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.