CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Damajuana (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6756031e169f7deafc5d9780a8fede309c5ace233cf25bf75db17c05f5621aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof BESTIA Academy, Damajuana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked BESTIA Academy | 66c | 3,170$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.93 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed BESTIA Academy | 63c | 2,748$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.25 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Damajuana | 35c | 1,733$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.73 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed BESTIA Academy | 60c | 1,644$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.41 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Damajuana | 34c | 940$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Damajuana | 38c | 755.26$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Damajuana | 40c | 685.3$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.68 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Damajuana | 37c | 615.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.81 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Damajuana | 34c | 600$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Damajuana | 34c | 567.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Damajuana | 38c | 413.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed BESTIA Academy | 63c | 348.79$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…dfe9backed Damajuana | 34c | 275.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Damajuana | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Damajuana | 39c | 241.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…9a05backed BESTIA Academy | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Damajuana | 38c | 165.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Damajuana | 34c | 150.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Damajuana | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Damajuana | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…3496backed BESTIA Academy | 67c | 129.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Damajuana | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Damajuana | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Damajuana | 40c | 101.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed BESTIA Academy | 67c | 98.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed BESTIA Academy | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Damajuana | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Damajuana | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed BESTIA Academy | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Damajuana | 32c | 38.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed BESTIA Academy | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Damajuana | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed BESTIA Academy | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BESTIA Academy | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Damajuana | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Damajuana (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Damajuana - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Damajuana - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.