Lol · resolved market
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c5c43944b5e2b3a87b4ff873ea71755ee2091f71ebfb6bdcc295073877d2fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1511…0ac5backed Yes | 10c | 1,056$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…5316backed Yes | 10c | 1,049$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…8c87backed Yes | 10c | 1,048$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…3ae8backed Yes | 10c | 1,037$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…0e7bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,030$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…bf43backed Yes | 10c | 1,029$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…7136backed Yes | 10c | 1,020$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…e85bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,019$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba8…8aa1backed Yes | 10c | 1,015$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…3f95backed Yes | 7c | 1,010$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…35a0backed Yes | 7c | 1,010$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…8fbdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,005$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,370.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…14d5backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…e2d3backed Yes | 10c | 998.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd867…0762backed Yes | 10c | 989.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…46d5backed Yes | 9c | 879.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…94bbbacked Yes | 9c | 842.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…ca2cbacked Yes | 8c | 563.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,135.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 11c | 173$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)DN SOOPers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.