Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c740406a369e99d744662478c319c7cabf8a118db70e63ac982069263c2c455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 46c | 4,938$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.62 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 54c | 3,710$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.56 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…ca21backed Under | 46c | 2,287$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 46c | 2,034$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 46c | 887.62$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.19 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 46c | 749$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.46 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 46c | 610.41$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.62 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 46c | 608.7$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Under | 46c | 425.17$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.59 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 46c | 380.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 440 | 39.5%174 W · 266 L | -25.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 46c | 308.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 46c | 243.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 47c | 237.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 191.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…e4ebbacked Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…3b05backed Over | 51c | 78.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 48c | 78.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Over | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 50c | 59.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…8124backed Over | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 56c | 34.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 55c | 34.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 795 | 45.3%360 W · 435 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Under | 44c | 23.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)DN SOOPers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.