Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: BK ROG Esports vs. Karmine Corp Blue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d0722f57969c69ee87f91384f6dc4035d2db8b973aa2a950b15185d6503396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof BK ROG, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 2,007$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed BK ROG | 26c | 1,973$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.05 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,225$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.27 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked BK ROG | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed BK ROG | 32c | 675.39$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 378.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BK ROG | 17c | 360.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed BK ROG | 31c | 275.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 218.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed BK ROG | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed BK ROG | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed BK ROG | 32c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked BK ROG | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed BK ROG | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0509backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.