TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lavkedof Lavked, Bebop
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2924…0f31backed Lavked66c4,249$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.3549646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked76c2,239$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.491,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lavked75c1,503$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.63,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Bebop27c1,232$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.252,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Bebop38c927.28$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.055,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Bebop35c918.56$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.517759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked71c819.34$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.622,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked61c708$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.376,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Bebop34c699.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2413238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbce…6e3fbacked Bebop40c548.8$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.211250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Lavked53c472.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8139248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked64c418.07$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.961,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Bebop55c351.39$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Lavked77c350$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Bebop42c296.84$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8969635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Lavked36c263.48$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.025536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed Bebop50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Lavked69c214.41$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.299546.3%44 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Lavked62c194.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.972250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bebop24c182.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.391,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop42c178.1$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.985,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked55c168$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.442,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffdc…ce87backed Lavked68c139.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.175139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked42c134.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.834,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lavked56c115.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.734,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Bebop46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.52,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Lavked77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6827556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bebop55c98.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.91,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bebop21c82.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.322,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Bebop23c80.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8147260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Bebop19c75.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2745240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f3e…6b69backed Lavked38c70.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.49568.4%65 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked63c60.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.167,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed Lavked48c60.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1213036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Bebop52c51.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7126564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af0…7696backed Bebop30c47.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.152740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed Bebop47c42.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2648826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Bebop64c40.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8655950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Bebop59c38.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9810950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked57c35.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1745663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Lavked70c35.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5725042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Bebop54c27.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0913350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Bebop54c27.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.097650%38 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bebop56c26.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1121351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Bebop53c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4541436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.