CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66caaad850edb60e255a9feb5b84ef7afb41a4b0524a2d434f2fb4d36b5d3b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Lavked | 70c | 3,046$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.38 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 61c | 1,860$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.02 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Bebop | 54c | 1,572$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.81 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 27c | 1,272$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 33c | 1,062$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 70c | 748.67$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop | 26c | 684.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 27c | 625.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.76 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 63c | 532.76$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lavked | 68c | 531.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.62 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 44c | 478.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.86 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Lavked | 65c | 452.1$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.01 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Bebop | 32c | 394.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bebop | 31c | 385.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bebop | 30c | 353.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Lavked | 48c | 351.88$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lavked | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Bebop | 17c | 266$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Bebop | 40c | 257.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bebop | 17c | 251.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Bebop | 38c | 245.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Bebop | 37c | 238.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Lavked | 78c | 172.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 27c | 170.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Lavked | 62c | 156.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Lavked | 63c | 146.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Bebop | 21c | 133$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Bebop | 20c | 133$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Bebop | 21c | 133$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Bebop | 19c | 133$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lavked | 62c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bebop | 42c | 119.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Bebop | 39c | 118.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lavked | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Bebop | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Bebop | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bebop | 20c | 98.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Bebop | 41c | 97.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 34c | 82.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…ce87backed Lavked | 67c | 65.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 68c | 61.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Lavked | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Bebop | 37c | 52.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Bebop | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 34c | 45.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bebop | 32c | 43.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Lavked | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…c3ffbacked Bebop | 71c | 27.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Bebop | 51c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 69c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.