NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68198eb261fb0871efac00ef61dc516869a222b3058bf9e55b3b32f340b729f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Flyers | 54c | 1,061$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.25 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Flyers | 44c | 946.7$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Flyers | 37c | 903.44$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.27 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Panthers | 80c | 795.81$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Panthers | 63c | 650.8$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Flyers | 37c | 499.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Panthers | 55c | 412.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.54 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 25c | 369.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Flyers | 33c | 369.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Panthers | 64c | 313.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db4…487abacked Panthers | 63c | 294.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 45c | 290$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Panthers | 63c | 270$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Panthers | 67c | 228.03$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Flyers | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Panthers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Panthers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 63c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Flyers | 37c | 111.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Flyers | 65c | 108.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Panthers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Panthers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers | 60c | 97.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Panthers | 59c | 86.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Flyers | 38c | 78.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Panthers | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…35aabacked Flyers | 40c | 52.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…86d2backed Panthers | 63c | 52.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…ebebbacked Flyers | 41c | 50.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…9b51backed Panthers | 63c | 50.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Panthers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Panthers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Flyers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…cb70backed Flyers | 40c | 49.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e63…6af0backed Panthers | 63c | 49.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…bb7dbacked Panthers | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…10e0backed Flyers | 41c | 41.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37a…8eafbacked Panthers | 62c | 39.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Panthers | 63c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Panthers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…6084backed Flyers | 38c | 29.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Panthers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Panthers | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Panthers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked Panthers | 63c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Panthers | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42fb…5ab2backed Panthers | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.