CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6829cc7a3005b62eebdeb74e512d4795e5c945c3951780acbdf2357f0a19b78e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reign Aboveof F5 Esports, Reign Above
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Reign Above | 52c | 1,038$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.57 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Reign Above | 39c | 699.07$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.73 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed F5 Esports | 68c | 500$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked F5 Esports | 72c | 361$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked F5 Esports | 71c | 321.19$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Reign Above | 43c | 304$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed F5 Esports | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Reign Above | 27c | 237.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.33 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked F5 Esports | 72c | 224.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Reign Above | 28c | 213.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed F5 Esports | 57c | 205.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Reign Above | 62c | 199$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked F5 Esports | 49c | 194.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked F5 Esports | 54c | 172.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed F5 Esports | 61c | 171.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked F5 Esports | 45c | 124.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed F5 Esports | 61c | 93.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Reign Above | 33c | 77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Reign Above | 30c | 60.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Reign Above | 26c | 55.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed F5 Esports | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Reign Above | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Reign Above | 67c | 31.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Reign Above | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 PlayoffsReign Above won
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above - Map 1 WinnerF5 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.