CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x137b69cc8704f2dab49c314e6a711a2692b54956d568df94dd6172d11ef96493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reign Aboveof F5 Esports, Reign Above
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Reign Above | 76c | 2,453$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.46 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed F5 Esports | 13c | 1,545$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked F5 Esports | 15c | 1,221$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Reign Above | 69c | 1,012$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed F5 Esports | 25c | 955.5$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked F5 Esports | 14c | 935.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Reign Above | 45c | 690.08$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.44 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed F5 Esports | 63c | 665.91$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed F5 Esports | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.35 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked F5 Esports | 76c | 415.92$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.1 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed F5 Esports | 35c | 400$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked F5 Esports | 34c | 367.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Reign Above | 70c | 238.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Reign Above | 18c | 215$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Reign Above | 60c | 198.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Reign Above | 23c | 197$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Reign Above | 24c | 194.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…55adbacked F5 Esports | 74c | 189.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked F5 Esports | 22c | 173$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Reign Above | 43c | 159.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Reign Above | 79c | 156.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Reign Above | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed F5 Esports | 66c | 142.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked F5 Esports | 24c | 140.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Reign Above | 65c | 134$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e3ddbacked Reign Above | 72c | 130.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Reign Above | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked F5 Esports | 65c | 115.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…ce71backed Reign Above | 10c | 112.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +410.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed F5 Esports | 27c | 107.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Reign Above | 48c | 106.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed F5 Esports | 57c | 104.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed F5 Esports | 21c | 99.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed F5 Esports | 75c | 95.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Reign Above | 45c | 92.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Reign Above | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed F5 Esports | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Reign Above | 28c | 55.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked F5 Esports | 41c | 45.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed F5 Esports | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked F5 Esports | 70c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed F5 Esports | 63c | 32.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed F5 Esports | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked F5 Esports | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Reign Above | 65c | 27.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…607cbacked F5 Esports | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed F5 Esports | 75c | 24.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…0355backed F5 Esports | 74c | 20.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked F5 Esports | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above - Map 1 WinnerF5 Esports won
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above - Map 2 WinnerReign Above won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.