Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sumter: Maria Sholokhova vs Victoria Hu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x683daf5f75562cf7f518801b9d64bb68e2863ee08f6a0182b2ff800925a0dcae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Sholokhovaof Maria Sholokhova, Victoria Hu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Victoria Hu | 26c | 3,850$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.79 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Maria Sholokhova | 69c | 3,833$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.86 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Sholokhova | 68c | 1,137$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Maria Sholokhova | 71c | 974.84$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Victoria Hu | 30c | 733.69$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Victoria Hu | 30c | 681.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Victoria Hu | 28c | 459$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Maria Sholokhova | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Victoria Hu | 30c | 416.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Victoria Hu | 30c | 352$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 71c | 341.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Maria Sholokhova | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Victoria Hu | 34c | 111.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maria Sholokhova | 61c | 99.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Victoria Hu | 35c | 81.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Victoria Hu | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Maria Sholokhova | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Victoria Hu | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Victoria Hu | 41c | 51.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Maria Sholokhova | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…48efbacked Victoria Hu | 59c | 44.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Victoria Hu | 29c | 39.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Maria Sholokhova | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Maria Sholokhova | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…d2a4backed Maria Sholokhova | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maria Sholokhova | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.